La escuela de los momios

Wimbledon v Northampton Town

Inicio: 2026-03-08 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wimbledon (Local)

Predicción 47.82%2.09momio equitativo
EV -4.36%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -4.36%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.85%47.83%47.87%49.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.941.952.0054.64%51.50%51.28%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Northampton Town (Visitante)

Predicción 24.87%4.02momio equitativo
EV -0.538%
Ventaja -0.135%
Kelly -0.179%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.59%24.83%24.88%26.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.503.723.704.0028.57%26.87%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.31%3.66momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -0.465%
Kelly -0.643%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.01%27.34%27.25%28.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.70%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -3.27%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -3.31%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 11:44
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:39
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:39
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 11:44
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 11:40
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:40
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:39
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:39
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:40
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.60%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 11:53
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -9.99%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.99%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:54
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -9.99%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.99%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 11:39
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 11:39
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -0.538%E -0.135%K -0.179%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 09:44
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 09:44
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 11:39
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 11:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 11:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:39
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:38
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.23%E -3.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 11:39
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.23%E -3.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 11:39
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -4.52%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 11:54
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 11:32
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:54
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 11:44
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 06:39
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 06:39
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 11:33
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 11:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 09:44
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 11:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 12:09
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 11:44
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 11:39
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 11:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 11:54
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.10%E -5.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.57%E -5.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.49%E -6.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.06%E -6.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-03-08 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-03-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-03-08 11:54
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%3.2%2026-03-08 11:54