L’École des cotes

Wimbledon v Northampton Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wimbledon (Local)

Prévision 47.82%2.09cote équitable
EV -4.36%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -4.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.85%47.83%47.87%49.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.831.941.952.0054.64%51.50%51.28%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Northampton Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.87%4.02cote équitable
EV -0.538%
Avantage -0.135%
Kelly -0.179%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.59%24.83%24.88%26.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.723.704.0028.57%26.87%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.31%3.66cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -0.465%
Kelly -0.643%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.01%27.34%27.25%28.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.403.6033.33%29.70%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.10%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.73%EV -3.27%E -0.842%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.17%EV -3.31%E -0.935%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-08 11:44
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:39
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:39
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.36%E -2.18%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 11:39
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 11:44
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -5.31%E -2.68%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 11:40
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:40
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:39
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:40
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:39
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -5.79%E -2.94%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 11:40
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.60%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-08 11:53
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -9.99%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.99%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:54
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 47.37%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.65%EV -9.99%E -2.76%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.99%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 11:39
BetRivers1.96I 51.02%NM 47.12%EV -6.27%E -3.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 11:39
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -0.538%E -0.135%K -0.179%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 09:44
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 09:44
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -4.40%E -1.26%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 11:39
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 11:54
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 11:55
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:39
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:39
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.23%E -3.46%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:39
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.75%E -3.46%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -12.97%E -3.71%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:38
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.23%E -3.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 11:39
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 46.85%EV -7.23%E -3.73%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.73%E -3.30%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-08 11:39
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.36%EV -4.52%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.19%EV -6.04%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 11:54
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 11:32
Bet Right1.93I 51.81%NM 47.47%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:54
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.70%E -3.99%K -8.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 11:44
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 06:39
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -5.77%E -1.67%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 06:39
TAB1.92I 52.08%NM 47.60%EV -8.18%E -4.26%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.70%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 11:33
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.75%E -1.80%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -1.67%E -0.465%K -0.643%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 11:54
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 09:44
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 11:54
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 12:09
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.00%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 11:44
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 11:39
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57%EV -8.66%E -4.53%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.24%E -2.53%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -9.87%E -2.99%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-08 11:39
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.14%E -4.81%K -10.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -5.51%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-08 11:54
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -10.10%E -5.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -8.50%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.27%EV -10.57%E -5.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.63%EV -3.03%E -0.776%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.10%EV -7.13%E -2.10%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -12.49%E -6.82%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -10.48%E -2.91%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -18.06%E -6.02%K -9.03%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-08 11:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-03-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-03-08 11:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-03-08 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 48.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.89%1.9%2026-03-08 11:54
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%3.2%2026-03-08 11:54