The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Wimbledon v Bradford City

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Wimbledon (Local)

Prediction 34.18%2.93fair odd
EV +2.55%
Edge +0.849%
Kelly +1.27%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.68%33.86%34.30%35.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.562.732.703.0039.06%36.70%37.04%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bradford City (Visit)

Prediction 36.38%2.75fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.655%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.34%36.48%36.34%37.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.552.552.7041.67%39.20%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.44%3.40fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.23%29.66%29.35%31.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.133.173.3035.71%31.90%31.50%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wimbledon (Local): 34.18%; Bradford City (Visit): 36.38%; Draw: 29.44%. For Wimbledon (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.55%.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV +2.55%E +0.849%K +1.27%G +0.032%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -14.64%E -5.05%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -2.58%E -0.905%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -2.58%E -0.905%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -2.58%E -0.905%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.29%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:25
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -4.29%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:25
Pinnacle🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -4.97%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.96%EV -2.50%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.38%EV -3.45%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -1.77%E -0.655%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -1.77%E -0.655%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:20
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.68%E -1.79%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:54
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:15
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.68%E -1.79%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:20
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:20
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:15
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:24
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 15:04
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -6.13%E -2.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -6.13%E -2.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.42%E -3.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:45
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.42%E -3.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -10.10%E -3.84%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -17.58%E -6.28%K -9.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.44%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:44
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.13%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:45
Bovada🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 35.45%EV -12.49%E -4.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.45%EV -6.86%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.09%EV -8.16%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Matchbook◎2.88I 34.72%NM 33.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%2.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets◎2.78I 35.97%NM 34.57%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%4.1%2026-02-21 15:05