La scuola delle quote

Wimbledon v Bradford City

Inizio: 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Wimbledon (Casa)

Previsione 34.18%2.93quota equa
EV +2.55%
Vantaggio +0.849%
Kelly +1.27%
Crescita +0.032%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.68%33.86%34.30%35.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.562.732.703.0039.06%36.70%37.04%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bradford City (Trasferta)

Previsione 36.38%2.75quota equa
EV -1.77%
Vantaggio -0.655%
Kelly -1.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.34%36.48%36.34%37.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.552.552.7041.67%39.20%39.22%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.44%3.40quota equa
EV -2.86%
Vantaggio -0.868%
Kelly -1.25%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.23%29.66%29.35%31.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.133.173.3035.71%31.90%31.50%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV +2.55%E +0.849%K +1.27%G +0.032%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -14.64%E -5.05%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -2.58%E -0.905%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -2.58%E -0.905%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -2.58%E -0.905%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.29%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -4.29%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:25
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -4.97%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.96%EV -2.50%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.38%EV -3.45%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:20
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -1.77%E -0.655%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -1.77%E -0.655%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.68%E -1.79%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:54
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:15
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.68%E -1.79%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:55
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:20
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:20
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:15
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:24
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 15:04
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -6.13%E -2.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -6.13%E -2.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.42%E -3.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:45
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.42%E -3.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -10.10%E -3.84%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -17.58%E -6.28%K -9.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.44%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:44
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.13%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:45
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 35.45%EV -12.49%E -4.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.45%EV -6.86%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.09%EV -8.16%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 33.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%2.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.57%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%4.1%2026-02-21 15:05