L’École des cotes

Wimbledon v Bradford City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

30 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wimbledon (Local)

Prévision 34.18%2.93cote équitable
EV +2.55%
Avantage +0.849%
Kelly +1.27%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.68%33.86%34.30%35.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.562.732.703.0039.06%36.70%37.04%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bradford City (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.38%2.75cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.655%
Kelly -1.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.34%36.48%36.34%37.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.552.552.7041.67%39.20%39.22%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.44%3.40cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -0.868%
Kelly -1.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.23%29.66%29.35%31.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.133.173.3035.71%31.90%31.50%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (30 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV +2.55%E +0.849%K +1.27%G +0.032%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -14.64%E -5.05%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 15:25
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -2.58%E -0.905%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -2.58%E -0.905%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:25
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -2.58%E -0.905%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 15:25
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -4.29%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-21 15:25
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -4.29%E -1.53%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -10.86%E -4.43%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-21 15:25
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.66%EV -4.97%E -1.79%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.96%EV -2.50%E -0.931%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.38%EV -3.45%E -1.05%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-21 15:20
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -1.77%E -0.655%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.88%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.52%EV -1.77%E -0.655%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.60%EV -4.63%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:25
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -6.00%E -2.18%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 15:20
DraftKings2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -4.68%E -1.79%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 14:54
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.86%E -0.868%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:15
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.46%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.52%EV -4.68%E -1.79%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 14:55
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:20
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.29%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 15:20
Paddy Power2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.94%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 15:15
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.41%E -2.08%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 15:24
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.71%E -2.85%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 15:04
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -6.13%E -2.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 34.77%EV -8.39%E -3.13%K -4.99%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.11%EV -6.13%E -2.38%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.12%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 14:45
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.88%EV -9.42%E -3.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.23%E -2.83%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.88%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:45
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -9.42%E -3.55%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.95%EV -10.10%E -3.84%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.11%EV -12.68%E -5.28%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.95%EV -17.58%E -6.28%K -9.77%G +0.000%15.4%2026-02-21 15:00
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -10.44%E -3.99%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -5.81%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:44
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -11.13%E -4.28%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -9.04%E -3.62%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 14:45
Bovada2.56I 39.06%NM 35.45%EV -12.49%E -4.88%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.45%EV -6.86%E -2.68%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.09%EV -8.16%E -2.62%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-21 15:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.78%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.21%0.7%2026-02-21 15:25
Matchbook2.88I 34.72%NM 33.77%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.93%2.8%2026-02-21 15:25
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.57%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.86%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.57%4.1%2026-02-21 15:05