Language:English
Wigan Athletic v Plymouth Argyle
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wigan Athletic (Local)
Prediction 34.37%2.91fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.72%34.39%34.32%35.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.702.702.8238.46%37.04%37.04%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Plymouth Argyle (Visit)
Prediction 37.06%2.70fair odd
EV -4.75%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.30%37.06%37.14%37.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.5743.48%40.09%40.00%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.56%3.50fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -0.847%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.73%28.55%28.53%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.79%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 34.37%; Plymouth Argyle (Visit): 37.06%; Draw: 28.56%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -2.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.17%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.49%EV -4.75%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 19:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 19:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.14%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.44%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -6.97%E -2.78%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -7.45%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.51%E -2.39%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.51%E -2.39%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-10 19:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 19:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-10 16:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-10 19:33 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.27%EV -9.57%E -3.92%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-10 19:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -14.76%E -6.42%K -11.35%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.73%E -6.16%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.79%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-10 19:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-10 19:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-10 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25% | 0.6% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 19:35 |