Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wigan Athletic v Plymouth Argyle

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Prévision 34.37%2.91cote équitable
EV -3.07%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -1.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.72%34.39%34.32%35.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.602.702.702.8238.46%37.04%37.04%35.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Plymouth Argyle (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.06%2.70cote équitable
EV -4.75%
Avantage -1.85%
Kelly -3.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.30%37.06%37.14%37.89%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.502.5743.48%40.09%40.00%38.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.56%3.50cote équitable
EV -2.88%
Avantage -0.847%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.73%28.55%28.53%29.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.79%30.77%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wigan Athletic (Local) : 34.37% ; Plymouth Argyle (Visiteur) : 37.06% ; Match nul : 28.56%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.50. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.40, pour une espérance de -2.88% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.17%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.49%EV -4.75%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:19
DraftKings🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 19:20
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:20
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:20
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Fanatics🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:20
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.14%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.44%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -6.97%E -2.78%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -7.45%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:25
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.51%E -2.39%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:25
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.51%E -2.39%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:25
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:00
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:20
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:20
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:40
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Everygame🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:25
BetRivers🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:25
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:25
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 16:50
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 19:33
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.27%EV -9.57%E -3.92%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -14.76%E -6.42%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.73%E -6.16%K -9.43%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.79%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-10 19:20
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:00
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-03-10 19:35