La escuela de los momios

Wigan Athletic v Plymouth Argyle

Inicio: 2026-03-10 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Predicción 34.37%2.91momio equitativo
EV -3.07%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.72%34.39%34.32%35.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.702.702.8238.46%37.04%37.04%35.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Plymouth Argyle (Visitante)

Predicción 37.06%2.70momio equitativo
EV -4.75%
Ventaja -1.85%
Kelly -3.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.30%37.06%37.14%37.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.492.502.5743.48%40.09%40.00%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.56%3.50momio equitativo
EV -2.88%
Ventaja -0.847%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.73%28.55%28.53%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.253.4034.72%30.79%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.82I 35.46%NM 34.17%EV -3.07%E -1.09%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.49%EV -4.75%E -1.85%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.34%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-10 19:30
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:20
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -3.76%E -1.34%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -5.12%E -2.00%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.16%E -1.56%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 19:19
DraftKings2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-10 19:20
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.82%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.88%E -0.847%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 19:20
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.19%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 19:34
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-10 19:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:20
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 33.94%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-10 19:20
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 19:20
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -5.47%E -1.99%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:20
1xBet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.14%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.44%EV -6.02%E -1.83%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:35
Marathon Bet2.74I 36.50%NM 34.04%EV -5.82%E -2.12%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.16%EV -6.97%E -2.78%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -7.45%E -2.30%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:25
NordicBet2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.51%E -2.39%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:25
Betsson2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -6.51%E -2.39%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.01%EV -6.60%E -2.62%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 19:25
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.42%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.31%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-10 19:25
Coolbet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 18:59
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 19:00
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:25
Sky Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:20
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 19:20
BetUS2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-10 19:40
888sport2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
William Hill2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:15
888sport (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Mr Green (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -11.45%E -3.69%K -5.45%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-10 19:20
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -7.19%E -2.66%K -4.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -11.05%E -4.60%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:19
PointsBet (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.40%EV -5.49%E -2.15%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.56%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-10 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:25
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.82%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.21%EV -8.09%E -3.26%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.96%EV -5.74%E -1.74%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-10 19:25
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.86%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-10 19:25
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 19:00
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-10 16:50
Bovada2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-10 19:33
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.31%EV -8.91%E -3.36%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.27%EV -9.57%E -3.92%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-10 19:25
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:25
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.69%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.24%EV -9.20%E -3.75%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 19:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -9.60%E -3.65%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -14.76%E -6.42%K -11.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -17.73%E -6.16%K -9.43%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-10 19:20
Betway2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-10 19:20
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -9.94%E -3.80%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.79%E -4.95%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -7.16%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-10 19:20
theScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -8.59%E -2.69%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-10 19:00
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 34.90%EV -10.63%E -4.09%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.34%E -2.94%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -10.02%E -3.18%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-10 19:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.37%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.38%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.25%0.6%2026-03-10 19:35
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.43%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.34%1.7%2026-03-10 19:35