Language:English
Wigan Athletic v Exeter City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Wigan Athletic (Local)
Prediction 42.08%2.38fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.63%42.20%42.04%46.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.162.202.3151.28%46.40%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Exeter City (Visit)
Prediction 28.61%3.49fair odd
EV +7.30%
Edge +1.95%
Kelly +2.65%
Growth +0.194%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.90%28.43%28.61%30.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.373.303.7533.33%29.67%30.30%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.31%3.41fair odd
EV -3.28%
Edge -0.995%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.78%29.36%29.35%31.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.183.203.3033.33%31.47%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Wigan Athletic (Local): 42.08%; Exeter City (Visit): 28.61%; Draw: 29.31%. For Exeter City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -15.00%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +7.30%E +1.95%K +2.65%G +0.194% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -15.00%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +7.30%E +1.95%K +2.65%G +0.194% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -15.00%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +7.30%E +1.95%K +2.65%G +0.194% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -17.11%E -8.68%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -17.11%E -8.68%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -17.95%E -9.20%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV +4.44%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -17.95%E -9.20%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV +4.44%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.42%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.82%EV +2.72%E +0.758%K +1.05%G +0.029% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.76%EV -8.27%E -2.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.147%E +0.042%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.73%E -3.16%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.147%E +0.042%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.73%E -3.16%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%EV -4.90%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -2.43%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.11%EV -11.78%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -4.43%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.22%E -1.40%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -8.56%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -12.73%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |