L’École des cotes

Wigan Athletic v Exeter City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Wigan Athletic (Local)

Prévision 42.08%2.38cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.63%42.20%42.04%46.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.162.202.3151.28%46.40%45.45%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Exeter City (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.61%3.49cote équitable
EV +7.30%
Avantage +1.95%
Kelly +2.65%
Croissance +0.194%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.90%28.43%28.61%30.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.373.303.7533.33%29.67%30.30%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.31%3.41cote équitable
EV -3.28%
Avantage -0.995%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.78%29.36%29.35%31.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.183.203.3033.33%31.47%31.25%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -15.00%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +7.30%E +1.95%K +2.65%G +0.194%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:34
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -15.00%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +7.30%E +1.95%K +2.65%G +0.194%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:34
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -15.00%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +7.30%E +1.95%K +2.65%G +0.194%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:29
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:34
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:34
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:29
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:34
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:29
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-21 14:30
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -17.11%E -8.68%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -17.11%E -8.68%K -17.63%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-21 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -17.95%E -9.20%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV +4.44%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:29
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -17.95%E -9.20%K -18.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV +4.44%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 14:29
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.42%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.82%EV +2.72%E +0.758%K +1.05%G +0.029%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.76%EV -8.27%E -2.64%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 14:45
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.147%E +0.042%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.73%E -3.16%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:45
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.147%E +0.042%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.73%E -3.16%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 14:44
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%EV -4.90%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -2.43%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.11%EV -11.78%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-21 14:49
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-21 14:54
Marathon Bet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -4.43%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-21 14:44
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-21 14:44
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 14:34
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 14:55
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 14:39
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:44
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-21 14:45
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:45
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:49
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-21 14:49
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.22%E -1.40%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -8.56%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 14:55
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:35
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:34
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:34
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:45
Codere (IT)2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:44
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 14:44
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-21 14:54
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-21 14:44
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-21 14:55
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-21 14:44
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -12.73%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:55
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-21 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-03-21 14:54
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15%2.0%2026-03-21 14:54