La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Wigan Athletic v Exeter City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Wigan Athletic (Local)
Predicción 42.08%2.38momio equitativo
EV -2.80%
Ventaja -1.21%
Kelly -2.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.63%42.20%42.04%46.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.162.202.3151.28%46.40%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Exeter City (Visitante)
Predicción 28.61%3.49momio equitativo
EV +7.30%
Ventaja +1.95%
Kelly +2.65%
Crecimiento +0.194%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.90%28.43%28.61%30.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.373.303.7533.33%29.67%30.30%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.31%3.41momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -0.995%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.78%29.36%29.35%31.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.183.203.3033.33%31.47%31.25%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -15.00%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +7.30%E +1.95%K +2.65%G +0.194% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -15.00%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +7.30%E +1.95%K +2.65%G +0.194% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.49%EV -15.00%E -7.43%K -14.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.05%EV +7.30%E +1.95%K +2.65%G +0.194% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -15.84%E -7.92%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -17.11%E -8.68%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -17.11%E -8.68%K -17.63%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV +5.87%E +1.59%K +2.17%G +0.128% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -17.95%E -9.20%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV +4.44%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -17.95%E -9.20%K -18.89%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV +4.44%E +1.22%K +1.68%G +0.074% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Pinnacle | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.42%EV -4.48%E -1.97%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.82%EV +2.72%E +0.758%K +1.05%G +0.029% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.76%EV -8.27%E -2.64%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.147%E +0.042%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.73%E -3.16%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.49%EV -2.80%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +0.147%E +0.042%K +0.059%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.73%E -3.16%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%EV -4.90%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -2.43%E -0.712%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.11%EV -11.78%E -3.91%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -2.71%E -0.798%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -4.14%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -6.59%E -2.97%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -4.43%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.45%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -10.61%E -3.48%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -4.06%E -1.78%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -3.22%E -1.40%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.02%EV -8.56%E -2.74%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.16%EV -9.11%E -4.22%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.08%E -4.03%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.28%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.87%E -3.13%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -3.28%E -0.995%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.53%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.30%E -3.64%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.14%E -2.95%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -12.73%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -4.75%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -5.32%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.21%E -1.94%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Matchbook | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.39% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Smarkets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.61% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.15% | 2.0% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |