Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC v Stevenage

Kickoff: 2026-05-13 19:00 UTC

Final: Stockport County FC 2–0 Stevenage

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prediction 46.94%2.13fair odd
EV -2.84%
Edge -1.37%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.12%46.89%46.96%48.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.991.982.0752.36%50.30%50.51%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Stevenage (Visit)

Prediction 24.57%4.07fair odd
EV +3.20%
Edge +0.762%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.38%24.73%24.54%27.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.773.804.2029.41%26.51%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.49%3.51fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.750%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.24%28.38%28.51%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.233.243.4232.26%30.91%30.86%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 46.94%; Stevenage (Visit): 24.57%; Draw: 28.49%. For Stevenage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.20%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.41%E -4.88%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.20%E +0.762%K +1.00%G +0.032%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:54
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.06%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.33%EV +1.23%E +0.300%K +0.396%G +0.005%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.61%EV -4.27%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.81%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -2.21%E -0.554%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 18:46
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 18:45
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:45
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:45
LeoVegas🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 18:45
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:45
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
betPARX🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.34%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 18:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 18:45
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 18:50
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 18:45
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:45
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 18:46
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 18:45
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 18:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 18:55
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.75%EV -8.00%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -7.61%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.36%EV -2.56%E -0.750%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 18:56
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:45
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 18:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.28%EV -7.53%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 18:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.28%EV -7.53%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 18:46
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:46
LowVig.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.33%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.61%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 09:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.33%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.61%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 09:04
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 18:26
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -4.71%E -2.32%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:55
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 18:45
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-13 18:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-05-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-05-13 18:45
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-13 18:55