L’École des cotes

Stockport County FC v Stevenage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-13 19:00 UTC

Score final : Stockport County FC 2–0 Stevenage

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prévision 46.94%2.13cote équitable
EV -2.84%
Avantage -1.37%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.12%46.89%46.96%48.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.991.982.0752.36%50.30%50.51%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Stevenage (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.57%4.07cote équitable
EV +3.20%
Avantage +0.762%
Kelly +1.00%
Croissance +0.032%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.38%24.73%24.54%27.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.773.804.2029.41%26.51%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.49%3.51cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.750%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.24%28.38%28.51%29.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.233.243.4232.26%30.91%30.86%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.41%E -4.88%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.20%E +0.762%K +1.00%G +0.032%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:54
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.06%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.33%EV +1.23%E +0.300%K +0.396%G +0.005%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.61%EV -4.27%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.81%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -2.21%E -0.554%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:44
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 18:46
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 18:45
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:45
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:45
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 18:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.34%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 18:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 18:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 18:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 18:45
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:45
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 18:46
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 18:45
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 18:55
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 18:55
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.75%EV -8.00%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -7.61%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.36%EV -2.56%E -0.750%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 18:56
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:40
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:45
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 18:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 18:50
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.28%EV -7.53%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.28%EV -7.53%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 18:46
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:45
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:46
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.33%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.61%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 09:04
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.33%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.61%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 09:04
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 18:26
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:40
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -4.71%E -2.32%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 18:45
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 18:40
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-13 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-05-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-05-13 18:45
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-13 18:55