La escuela de los momios

Stockport County FC v Stevenage

Inicio: 2026-05-13 19:00 UTC

Final: Stockport County FC 2–0 Stevenage

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Predicción 46.94%2.13momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.12%46.89%46.96%48.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.911.991.982.0752.36%50.30%50.51%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stevenage (Visitante)

Predicción 24.57%4.07momio equitativo
EV +3.20%
Ventaja +0.762%
Kelly +1.00%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.38%24.73%24.54%27.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.773.804.2029.41%26.51%26.32%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.49%3.51momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -0.750%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.24%28.38%28.51%29.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.243.4232.26%30.91%30.86%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.70%EV -9.41%E -4.88%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV +3.20%E +0.762%K +1.00%G +0.032%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.92%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-13 18:54
Pinnacle2.00I 50.00%NM 48.06%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.33%EV +1.23%E +0.300%K +0.396%G +0.005%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.61%EV -4.27%E -1.27%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.81%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.42%EV -2.21%E -0.554%K -0.740%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -7.69%E -2.37%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-13 18:44
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 18:46
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.40%EV -3.31%E -1.61%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-13 18:45
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:45
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.38%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -2.94%E -0.745%K -0.997%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:45
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 46.28%EV -4.25%E -2.08%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-13 18:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -4.17%E -1.07%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-13 18:45
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Casumo2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
betPARX2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -5.18%E -2.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:30
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 47.34%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.49%EV -5.40%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-13 18:39
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-13 18:45
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-13 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 18:45
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.35%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-13 18:50
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-13 18:45
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:45
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.27%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -10.26%E -3.26%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:45
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 18:46
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 18:45
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-13 18:50
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 18:55
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.94%EV -6.63%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-13 18:55
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.75%EV -8.00%E -4.08%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.89%EV -7.61%E -2.02%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.36%EV -2.56%E -0.750%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-13 18:56
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.99%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.20%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-13 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:40
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 46.79%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.70%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.51%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-13 18:45
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -7.06%E -3.57%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-13 18:40
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-13 18:50
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.28%EV -7.53%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 18:45
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.28%EV -7.53%E -3.82%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.31%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-13 18:46
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:45
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:45
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -7.86%E -2.10%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-13 18:46
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.33%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.61%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 09:04
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.33%EV -2.84%E -1.37%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.61%EV -6.55%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-13 09:04
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -8.47%E -4.34%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.54%E -3.21%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-13 18:26
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-13 18:40
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.93%EV -4.71%E -2.32%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-13 18:55
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-13 18:45
betfred_uk2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -14.00%E -4.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.41%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-13 18:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.78%E -1.84%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -3.13%E -0.922%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-13 18:40
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -6.12%E -3.06%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -4.56%E -1.36%K -1.94%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-13 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.35%E -5.42%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -16.46%E -4.84%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-13 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-05-13 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-05-13 18:45
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.57%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-05-13 18:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-13 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.34%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.18%1.4%2026-05-13 18:55