The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Stockport County FC v Mansfield Town

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prediction 55.95%1.79fair odd
EV -1.53%
Edge -0.869%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.38%56.00%55.86%58.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.681.671.7664.10%59.69%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mansfield Town (Visit)

Prediction 19.47%5.14fair odd
EV +2.23%
Edge +0.426%
Kelly +0.526%
Growth +0.012%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.29%19.53%19.60%21.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.594.505.2523.81%21.76%22.22%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV -2.18%
Edge -0.548%
Kelly -0.732%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.43%24.47%24.55%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.743.753.9830.30%26.75%26.67%25.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stockport County FC (Local): 55.95%; Mansfield Town (Visit): 19.47%; Draw: 24.58%. For Mansfield Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.14. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.23%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -12.72%E -8.15%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV +2.23%E +0.426%K +0.526%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 22:44
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 17.75%EV +1.65%E +0.316%K +0.391%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 21:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -11.04%E -6.94%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.26%E +0.243%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -2.18%E -0.548%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:04
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.22%EV -8.80%E -5.40%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 15:09
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:24
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:30
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -3.61%E -0.729%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 15:04
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -3.61%E -0.729%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 15:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.53%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 16:59
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 15:03
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -8.48%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 23:50
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.24%E -5.03%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -10.42%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:20
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.37%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 06:40
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -15.68%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -15.68%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -18.89%E -5.73%K -8.21%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -1.53%E -0.869%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -1.53%E -0.869%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -1.53%E -0.869%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:30
Unibet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:30
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -4.89%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -18.21%E -4.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -4.89%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -18.21%E -4.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-01 08:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-02 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-02 15:29