La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Stockport County FC v Mansfield Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stockport County FC (Local)
Predicción 55.95%1.79momio equitativo
EV -1.53%
Ventaja -0.869%
Kelly -2.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.38%56.00%55.86%58.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.561.681.671.7664.10%59.69%59.88%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mansfield Town (Visitante)
Predicción 19.47%5.14momio equitativo
EV +2.23%
Ventaja +0.426%
Kelly +0.526%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.29%19.53%19.60%21.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.594.505.2523.81%21.76%22.22%19.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.58%4.07momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.548%
Kelly -0.732%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.98
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.43%24.47%24.55%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.743.753.9830.30%26.75%26.67%25.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (33 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -12.72%E -8.15%K -22.71%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV +2.23%E +0.426%K +0.526%G +0.012% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 22:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 5.22I 19.16%NM 17.75%EV +1.65%E +0.316%K +0.391%G +0.006% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 21:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -11.04%E -6.94%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.26%E +0.243%K +0.300%G +0.004% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -2.18%E -0.548%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 18:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.22%EV -8.80%E -5.40%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-02 15:09 |
| 888sport | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 18:24 |
| William Hill | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-02 14:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -3.61%E -0.729%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 15:04 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -3.61%E -0.729%K -0.913%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 15:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.53%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 15:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 18:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -8.48%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.24%E -5.03%K -12.88%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -10.42%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-03 17:20 |
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.37%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-05 06:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -15.68%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-02-28 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -15.68%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -18.89%E -5.73%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-28 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -1.53%E -0.869%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -1.53%E -0.869%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -1.53%E -0.869%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -4.89%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -18.21%E -4.34%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -4.89%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -18.21%E -4.34%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-28 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55% | 189.4% | 2026-03-01 08:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-02 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99% | 191.3% | 2026-03-02 15:29 |