L’École des cotes

Stockport County FC v Mansfield Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

33 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stockport County FC (Local)

Prévision 55.95%1.79cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.869%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.38%56.00%55.86%58.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.561.681.671.7664.10%59.69%59.88%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mansfield Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.47%5.14cote équitable
EV +2.23%
Avantage +0.426%
Kelly +0.526%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.29%19.53%19.60%21.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.594.505.2523.81%21.76%22.22%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.58%4.07cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.548%
Kelly -0.732%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.98

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.43%24.47%24.55%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.743.753.9830.30%26.75%26.67%25.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (33 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -12.72%E -8.15%K -22.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV +2.23%E +0.426%K +0.526%G +0.012%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 22:44
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.20%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 17.75%EV +1.65%E +0.316%K +0.391%G +0.006%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 21:24
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -11.04%E -6.94%K -18.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV +1.26%E +0.243%K +0.300%G +0.004%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -2.18%E -0.548%K -0.732%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:04
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 56.22%EV -8.80%E -5.40%K -13.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-02 15:09
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:24
William Hill1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-02 14:04
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:30
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.25%EV -10.48%E -6.55%K -17.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.63%E -0.527%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-28 18:30
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -3.61%E -0.729%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 15:04
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.20%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.73%EV -3.61%E -0.729%K -0.913%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-02 15:04
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.53%E -1.36%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 16:59
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -7.12%E -4.29%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -4.15%E -1.06%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 18:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 15:03
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.50%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 18:49
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -7.68%E -4.66%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -8.48%E -1.80%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-03 23:50
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.56%EV -8.24%E -5.03%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -10.42%E -2.27%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-03 17:20
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.56%E -3.93%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -12.37%E -2.75%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-05 06:40
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -15.68%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.52%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%12.6%2026-02-28 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 53.62%EV -9.36%E -5.78%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.06%EV -15.68%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.32%EV -18.89%E -5.73%K -8.21%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 18:30
LeoVegas1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -1.53%E -0.869%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:30
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -1.53%E -0.869%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:30
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.41%EV -1.53%E -0.869%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -16.26%E -3.78%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 15:30
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 53.38%EV -2.65%E -1.52%K -3.58%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-28 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:30
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 53.52%EV -3.21%E -1.85%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -17.24%E -4.06%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.69%EV -7.83%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 15:30
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -4.89%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -18.21%E -4.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.64%EV -4.89%E -2.87%K -6.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -18.21%E -4.34%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -9.06%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-28 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.23%1.03I 97.09%NM 33.55%189.4%2026-03-01 08:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-02 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-03-02 15:29