Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stevenage v Wimbledon

Kickoff: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stevenage (Local)

Prediction 46.59%2.15fair odd
EV -4.49%
Edge -2.19%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.19%46.65%46.45%47.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.26%50.00%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wimbledon (Visit)

Prediction 23.95%4.18fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.309%
Kelly +0.405%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 4.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.49%23.90%24.12%25.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.904.2327.78%25.77%25.64%23.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.46%3.39fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.08%29.45%29.42%30.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.143.153.3035.71%31.85%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stevenage (Local): 46.59%; Wimbledon (Visit): 23.95%; Draw: 29.46%. For Wimbledon (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.72%EV +1.31%E +0.309%K +0.405%G +0.005%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.48%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 14:55
1xBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.50%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.60%EV -0.849%E -0.205%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.90%EV -7.78%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -1.81%E -0.441%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:48
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -10.08%E -5.23%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.81%E -0.441%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -3.00%E -0.742%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:50
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:50
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.40%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.40%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:45
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:50
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:50
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.74%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.14%E -3.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Coolbet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:19
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:20
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -2.77%E -0.841%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:20
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.39%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.14%E -3.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.78%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -13.78%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -17.51%E -6.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%3.1%2026-03-14 14:50