La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Stevenage v Wimbledon
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Stevenage (Local)
Predicción 46.59%2.15momio equitativo
EV -4.49%
Ventaja -2.19%
Kelly -4.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.19%46.65%46.45%47.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.26%50.00%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Wimbledon (Visitante)
Predicción 23.95%4.18momio equitativo
EV +1.31%
Ventaja +0.309%
Kelly +0.405%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.49%23.90%24.12%25.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.883.904.2327.78%25.77%25.64%23.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.46%3.39momio equitativo
EV -2.77%
Ventaja -0.841%
Kelly -1.21%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.08%29.45%29.42%30.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.143.153.3035.71%31.85%31.75%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.72%EV +1.31%E +0.309%K +0.405%G +0.005% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.48%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.50%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.60%EV -0.849%E -0.205%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.90%EV -7.78%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -1.81%E -0.441%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -10.08%E -5.23%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.81%E -0.441%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -3.00%E -0.742%K -0.985%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betsson | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.40%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.40%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Unibet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Casumo | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| betPARX | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.74%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.14%E -3.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BetUS | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -2.77%E -0.841%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| BetMGM | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Neds | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.39%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.14%E -3.32%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.78%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -13.78%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -17.51%E -6.25%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38% | 3.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |