L’École des cotes

Stevenage v Wimbledon

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Stevenage (Local)

Prévision 46.59%2.15cote équitable
EV -4.49%
Avantage -2.19%
Kelly -4.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.19%46.65%46.45%47.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.992.002.0552.36%50.26%50.00%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Wimbledon (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.95%4.18cote équitable
EV +1.31%
Avantage +0.309%
Kelly +0.405%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 4.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.49%23.90%24.12%25.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.883.904.2327.78%25.77%25.64%23.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 29.46%3.39cote équitable
EV -2.77%
Avantage -0.841%
Kelly -1.21%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.08%29.45%29.42%30.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.143.153.3035.71%31.85%31.75%30.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 47.81%EV -6.36%E -3.16%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.72%EV +1.31%E +0.309%K +0.405%G +0.005%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.48%EV -3.95%E -1.21%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-14 14:55
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.50%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.60%EV -0.849%E -0.205%K -0.270%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.90%EV -7.78%E -2.49%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -1.81%E -0.441%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:48
Tipico (DE)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.77%EV -10.08%E -5.23%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.81%E -0.441%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Marathon Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 47.35%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -3.00%E -0.742%K -0.985%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:50
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.93%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 14:50
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Paddy Power1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:55
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.20%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.40%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.17%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.64%EV -5.40%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:50
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.95%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:45
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Svenska Spel2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
ATG (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 14:55
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.56%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.56%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:30
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:50
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:50
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.88%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -11.61%E -3.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:50
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 46.97%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.74%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -6.60%E -1.69%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.89%EV -10.14%E -3.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:45
Coolbet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:19
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -8.22%E -4.17%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.26%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 14:20
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:55
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.83%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.72%EV -7.79%E -2.02%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.46%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 14:55
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -4.25%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -2.77%E -0.841%K -1.21%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 14:30
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:19
Virgin Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -9.15%E -4.69%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.99%E -2.37%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.67%E -2.80%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -4.49%E -2.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:45
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -5.89%E -2.92%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:45
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.37%EV -7.76%E -3.92%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -10.19%E -2.72%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -7.19%E -2.28%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 14:40
Codere (IT)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -11.39%E -3.08%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -10.14%E -3.32%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 14:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -6.82%E -3.41%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -13.78%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -5.72%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.19%EV -11.02%E -5.77%K -12.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.98%EV -13.78%E -3.83%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -17.51%E -6.25%K -9.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 47.76%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%3.1%2026-03-14 14:50