Language:English
Stevenage v Barnsley
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Stevenage (Local)
Prediction 54.54%1.83fair odd
EV -4.55%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -6.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%54.48%54.54%55.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.701.7560.61%58.80%58.82%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Barnsley (Visit)
Prediction 19.16%5.22fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +0.330%
Kelly +0.407%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 5.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.95%19.16%19.21%20.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.814.805.3122.22%20.78%20.83%18.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.29%3.80fair odd
EV -2.72%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.36%26.24%28.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.523.553.7032.26%28.38%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stevenage (Local): 54.54%; Barnsley (Visit): 19.16%; Draw: 26.29%. For Barnsley (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.75%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.75%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV +1.75%E +0.330%K +0.407%G +0.007% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -0.353%E -0.068%K -0.084%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.45%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.56%EV -3.61%E -0.718%K -0.896%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.45%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-21 18:38 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.14%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.14%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -8.91%E -5.34%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 18:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.06%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -2.72%E -0.734%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.91%E -5.34%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-21 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-21 18:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.29%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -7.82%E -4.63%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-21 18:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -8.91%E -5.34%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13% | 0.7% | 2026-04-21 18:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.28% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39% | 1.1% | 2026-04-21 18:40 |