Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stevenage v Barnsley

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Score final : Stevenage 1–0 Barnsley

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Stevenage (Local)

Prévision 54.54%1.83cote équitable
EV -4.55%
Avantage -2.60%
Kelly -6.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%54.48%54.54%55.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.651.701.701.7560.61%58.80%58.82%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Barnsley (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.16%5.22cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +0.330%
Kelly +0.407%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 5.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.95%19.16%19.21%20.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.504.814.805.3122.22%20.78%20.83%18.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.29%3.80cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.28%26.36%26.24%28.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.523.553.7032.26%28.38%28.17%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Stevenage (Local) : 54.54% ; Barnsley (Visiteur) : 19.16% ; Match nul : 26.29%. Pour Barnsley (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.22. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.31, soit une espérance positive de +1.75%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.75%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV +1.75%E +0.330%K +0.407%G +0.007%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -0.353%E -0.068%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.45%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:40
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.56%EV -3.61%E -0.718%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.45%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:35
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:38
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:35
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:35
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.14%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.14%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:15
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:15
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -8.91%E -5.34%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:34
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.06%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:35
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:35
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:30
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -2.72%E -0.734%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:35
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:35
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Paddy Power🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:35
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.91%E -5.34%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:39
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:30
Bovada🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:39
Bet Right🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.29%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -7.82%E -4.63%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -8.91%E -5.34%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.28%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-04-21 18:40