La escuela de los momios

Stevenage v Barnsley

Inicio: 2026-04-21 18:45 UTC

Final: Stevenage 1–0 Barnsley

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Stevenage (Local)

Predicción 54.54%1.83momio equitativo
EV -4.55%
Ventaja -2.60%
Kelly -6.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.36%54.48%54.54%55.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.651.701.701.7560.61%58.80%58.82%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Barnsley (Visitante)

Predicción 19.16%5.22momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +0.330%
Kelly +0.407%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.95%19.16%19.21%20.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.814.805.3122.22%20.78%20.83%18.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.29%3.80momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -0.734%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.28%26.36%26.24%28.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.553.7032.26%28.38%28.17%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 55.75%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV +1.75%E +0.330%K +0.407%G +0.007%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.20%EV -3.77%E -1.03%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-21 18:40
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -0.353%E -0.068%K -0.084%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -7.45%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:40
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.56%EV -3.61%E -0.718%K -0.896%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.45%E -2.12%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 18:40
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:35
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 18:38
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-21 18:35
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -4.19%E -0.837%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:35
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.14%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -5.14%E -1.04%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.28%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:30
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:15
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:15
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.02%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -4.03%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:15
LowVig.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:40
BetOnline.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 54.68%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -8.91%E -5.34%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -6.10%E -1.25%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:34
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 54.46%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.09%EV -7.06%E -1.46%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.32%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.58%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-21 18:35
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 53.98%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.57%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-21 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-21 18:35
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.05%EV -8.37%E -4.98%K -12.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 18:15
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.50%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -8.02%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -13.23%E -4.01%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:40
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-21 18:30
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -2.72%E -0.734%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-21 18:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:35
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:35
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.50%EV -6.73%E -3.94%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-21 18:35
SportsBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:35
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 18:15
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -8.91%E -5.34%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.34%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:39
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-21 18:25
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:15
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.18%EV -10.00%E -6.06%K -15.39%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.17%EV -8.98%E -1.89%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -6.66%E -1.88%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-21 18:15
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.41%EV -4.55%E -2.60%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 18:30
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.58%EV -9.93%E -2.11%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.29%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-21 18:39
Bet Right1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -6.18%E -3.60%K -8.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -9.29%E -2.69%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 18:30
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 53.05%EV -5.64%E -3.26%K -7.72%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-21 18:30
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 54.05%EV -7.82%E -4.63%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.10%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-21 18:30
Codere (IT)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -7.28%E -4.28%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -11.85%E -2.58%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -10.60%E -3.12%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 18:35
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 53.08%EV -5.09%E -2.93%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.53%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.39%EV -7.97%E -2.28%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-21 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 52.36%EV -8.91%E -5.34%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.43%EV -13.77%E -3.06%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -18.49%E -5.96%K -8.81%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-21 18:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.48%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.39%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-04-21 18:35
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 55.28%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%1.1%2026-04-21 18:40