Language:English
Rotherham United v Bolton Wanderers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Rotherham United (Local)
Prediction 22.88%4.37fair odd
EV -0.925%
Edge -0.214%
Kelly -0.278%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.62%22.88%22.86%24.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.094.104.3326.32%24.46%24.39%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bolton Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 52.48%1.91fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.50%52.51%52.49%54.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.751.8659.88%56.89%57.14%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.64%4.06fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.478%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.19%24.61%24.65%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.753.754.0030.77%26.66%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Rotherham United (Local): 22.88%; Bolton Wanderers (Visit): 52.48%; Draw: 24.64%. For Rotherham United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.37. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.33, with an expected value of -0.925%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.16%EV -0.925%E -0.214%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.61%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.23%EV -2.42%E -0.611%K -0.818%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 20:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 12:23 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.04%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 16:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 04:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-13 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.81%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-13 20:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.29%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 24.84%EV -7.35%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -2.67%E -0.675%K -0.904%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 12:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 04:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 03:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 12:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-14 04:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -19.92%E -6.13%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 04:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 12:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-13 20:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65% | 0.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51% | 1.3% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.63% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 12:25 |