La escuela de los momios

Rotherham United v Bolton Wanderers

Inicio: 2026-03-14 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Predicción 22.88%4.37momio equitativo
EV -0.925%
Ventaja -0.214%
Kelly -0.278%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.62%22.88%22.86%24.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.094.104.3326.32%24.46%24.39%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bolton Wanderers (Visitante)

Predicción 52.48%1.91momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.50%52.51%52.49%54.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.761.751.8659.88%56.89%57.14%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.64%4.06momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.359%
Kelly -0.478%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.19%24.61%24.65%26.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.753.754.0030.77%26.66%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle4.33I 23.09%NM 22.16%EV -0.925%E -0.214%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.61%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.23%EV -2.42%E -0.611%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 12:25
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 20:24
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:25
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 16:45
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 12:23
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:25
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:25
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.04%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 16:44
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 16:45
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:15
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 16:45
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 20:54
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.81%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 20:25
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 12:05
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 12:05
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.29%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.84%EV -7.35%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:20
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -2.67%E -0.675%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:14
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 12:25
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:15
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:25
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 03:39
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:24
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 12:25
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:04
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 04:20
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -19.92%E -6.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 04:14
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:24
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:25
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:25
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:25
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 12:25
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 12:20
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 12:25
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 20:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-03-14 12:25
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-03-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 12:25
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-03-14 12:25