L’École des cotes

Rotherham United v Bolton Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rotherham United (Local)

Prévision 22.88%4.37cote équitable
EV -0.925%
Avantage -0.214%
Kelly -0.278%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.62%22.88%22.86%24.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.094.104.3326.32%24.46%24.39%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.48%1.91cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -1.29%
Kelly -2.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.50%52.51%52.49%54.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.751.8659.88%56.89%57.14%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.64%4.06cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -0.359%
Kelly -0.478%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.19%24.61%24.65%26.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.753.754.0030.77%26.66%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle4.33I 23.09%NM 22.16%EV -0.925%E -0.214%K -0.278%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.61%EV -6.06%E -3.39%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.23%EV -2.42%E -0.611%K -0.818%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-14 12:25
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Svenska Spel4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
ATG (SE)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-14 12:05
NordicBet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 20:24
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.76%E -0.648%K -0.848%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:25
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-12 16:45
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 12:23
SportsBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.04%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 12:25
Unibet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Casumo4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (NL)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Unibet (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
betPARX4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.78%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.56%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 12:25
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:05
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.92%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -3.90%E -0.929%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Marathon Bet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.04%E -1.22%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.99%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 16:44
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.32%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 16:45
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.39%EV -6.59%E -3.70%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:15
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.69%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -3.90%E -1.000%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 16:45
Fanatics4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-13 20:54
PlayUp4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.81%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-13 20:25
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 12:05
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.11%EV -6.19%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.71%EV -9.74%E -5.66%K -13.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 12:05
1xBet4.01I 24.94%NM 23.29%EV -8.25%E -2.06%K -2.74%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.88%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.84%EV -7.35%E -1.95%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:20
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -2.67%E -0.675%K -0.904%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:14
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 12:25
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -5.54%E -3.08%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 04:15
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 12:25
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 03:39
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 12:24
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.70%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 12:25
Everygame4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -9.21%E -5.33%K -12.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -7.60%E -2.03%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 12:04
theScore Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.49%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-14 04:20
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 21.62%EV -8.48%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.78%EV -12.36%E -7.40%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.61%EV -19.92%E -6.13%K -8.85%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Right3.95I 25.32%NM 23.26%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.91%EV -7.11%E -4.02%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.83%E -2.39%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 04:14
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:24
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.20%EV -9.62%E -2.44%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.68%EV -8.69%E -4.99%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-14 12:25
BetOnline.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:25
LowVig.ag3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.50%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -1.44%E -0.359%K -0.478%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-14 12:25
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -7.64%E -4.34%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -10.06%E -2.76%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 12:25
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 12:25
888sport (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 12:20
Mr Green (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.76%E -2.76%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -8.16%E -4.67%K -10.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.29%E -3.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 12:25
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -13.05%E -3.43%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.78%EV -10.79%E -6.35%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -6.36%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-13 20:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-03-14 12:25
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.07%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.28%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.65%0.7%2026-03-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.94%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.55%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.51%1.3%2026-03-14 12:25
Smarkets4.60I 21.74%NM 21.38%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-03-14 12:25