Language:English
Reading v Lincoln City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Reading (Local)
Prediction 23.24%4.30fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.291%
Kelly -0.381%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.87%23.31%23.30%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.923.954.2527.40%25.48%25.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lincoln City (Visit)
Prediction 49.90%2.00fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.73%49.79%49.92%51.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.881.881.9654.95%53.27%53.19%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.533%
Kelly -0.734%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.69%26.90%26.79%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.453.403.6530.30%28.98%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Reading (Local): 23.24%; Lincoln City (Visit): 49.90%; Draw: 26.86%. For Reading (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.30. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -1.24%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -1.24%E -0.291%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.08%EV -3.10%E -0.742%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.12%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -3.56%E -0.991%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -1.94%E -0.533%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -1.94%E -0.533%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.88%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -7.19%E -3.87%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.28%EV -6.35%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.70%EV -7.19%E -3.87%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.21%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.21%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -9.19%E -5.05%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.86%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.86%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -3.20%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -15.18%E -4.16%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -15.18%E -4.16%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |