L’École des cotes

Reading v Lincoln City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

45 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Reading (Local)

Prévision 23.24%4.30cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.291%
Kelly -0.381%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.87%23.31%23.30%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.653.923.954.2527.40%25.48%25.32%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lincoln City (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.90%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.12%
Kelly -2.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.96

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.73%49.79%49.92%51.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.881.881.9654.95%53.27%53.19%51.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.86%3.72cote équitable
EV -1.94%
Avantage -0.533%
Kelly -0.734%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.69%26.90%26.79%27.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.453.403.6530.30%28.98%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (45 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -1.24%E -0.291%K -0.381%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:10
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:10
Bet Victor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-06 13:08
Coolbet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Betr (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Pinnacle4.17I 23.98%NM 23.08%EV -3.10%E -0.742%K -0.977%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.12%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -3.56%E -0.991%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 13:45
BetOnline.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -1.94%E -0.533%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:44
LowVig.ag4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -1.94%E -0.533%K -0.734%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-06 13:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:10
BetMGM4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:10
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:10
Tipico (DE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 13:44
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Marathon Bet4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.88%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -7.19%E -3.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:35
1xBet4.03I 24.81%NM 23.28%EV -6.35%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-06 13:44
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:44
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.70%EV -7.19%E -3.87%K -8.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Paddy Power4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Bovada3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.21%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:44
BetUS3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.21%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:44
Codere (IT)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -9.19%E -5.05%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
888sport3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
William Hill3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 13:44
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BoyleSports3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.86%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.86%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -3.20%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:35
BetRivers3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Casumo3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:35
TAB3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:35
LiveScore Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -15.18%E -4.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Virgin Bet3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -15.18%E -4.16%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89%0.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-04-06 13:45
Smarkets4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95%1.7%2026-04-06 13:45