La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Reading v Lincoln City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Reading (Local)
Predicción 23.24%4.30momio equitativo
EV -1.24%
Ventaja -0.291%
Kelly -0.381%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.87%23.31%23.30%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.653.923.954.2527.40%25.48%25.32%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lincoln City (Visitante)
Predicción 49.90%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -2.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.73%49.79%49.92%51.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.821.881.881.9654.95%53.27%53.19%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -1.94%
Ventaja -0.533%
Kelly -0.734%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.69%26.90%26.79%27.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.453.403.6530.30%28.98%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -1.24%E -0.291%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.79%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Coral | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.17%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Bet Victor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-06 13:08 |
| Coolbet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.40%E -0.571%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Pinnacle | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.08%EV -3.10%E -0.742%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.12%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.80%EV -3.56%E -0.991%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -1.94%E -0.533%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.23%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.67%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -1.94%E -0.533%K -0.734%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| BetMGM | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Neds | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.78%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Bet Right | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.72%E -1.15%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.19%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.88%E -1.45%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.23%EV -7.19%E -3.87%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 1xBet | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.28%EV -6.35%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| DraftKings | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.61%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| SportsBet | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.70%EV -7.19%E -3.87%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -7.05%E -1.76%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Bovada | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.21%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| BetUS | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.24%EV -8.21%E -2.08%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.95%EV -9.19%E -5.05%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -11.35%E -3.44%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.37%E -2.40%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.62%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.33%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.98%EV -7.69%E -4.16%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -3.29%E -0.913%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betway | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -11.69%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.51%EV -8.69%E -4.75%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -12.86%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%EV -2.20%E -1.12%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.32%E -2.12%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -12.86%E -3.43%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -5.97%E -1.71%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betsson | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -4.20%E -2.19%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -4.63%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.73%EV -3.20%E -1.65%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Casumo | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -3.70%E -1.92%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TAB | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -14.02%E -3.79%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.25%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -8.66%E -2.55%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -15.18%E -4.16%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -15.18%E -4.16%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.90%EV -5.20%E -2.73%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.00%E -2.99%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-04 13:39 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Matchbook | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.50% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.89% | 0.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.55% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.63% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Smarkets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.35% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.95% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |