Language:English
Port Vale v Reading
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 33.48%2.99fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.81%33.31%33.52%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.792.802.9037.04%35.87%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Reading (Visit)
Prediction 38.00%2.63fair odd
EV -2.34%
Edge -0.911%
Kelly -1.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.24%38.12%37.97%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.422.402.5743.48%41.37%41.67%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.52%3.51fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.545%
Kelly -0.769%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.45%28.57%28.50%30.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.273.293.4434.72%30.59%30.40%29.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 33.48%; Reading (Visit): 38.00%; Draw: 28.52%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.44, with an expected value of -1.88%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-20 10:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-20 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -2.72%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -2.72%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 09:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 09:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.56%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-20 09:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -6.60%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.43%EV -2.34%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.96%EV -1.88%E -0.545%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.95%EV -6.52%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -6.44%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 09:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 09:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 09:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 09:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 09:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -12.60%E -5.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -17.85%E -6.20%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |