La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Port Vale v Reading
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 33.48%2.99momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.81%33.31%33.52%34.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.792.802.9037.04%35.87%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Reading (Visitante)
Predicción 38.00%2.63momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.911%
Kelly -1.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.57
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.24%38.12%37.97%39.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.422.402.5743.48%41.37%41.67%38.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.52%3.51momio equitativo
EV -1.88%
Ventaja -0.545%
Kelly -0.769%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.45%28.57%28.50%30.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.273.293.4434.72%30.59%30.40%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 09:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-20 09:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-20 10:00 |
| Neds | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-20 10:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -2.72%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -2.72%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 09:04 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 09:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.56%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-20 09:55 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -6.60%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.43%EV -2.34%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.96%EV -1.88%E -0.545%K -0.769%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betsson | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| NordicBet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.95%EV -6.52%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -6.44%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| PlayUp | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 09:25 |
| Bovada | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| BetUS | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betway | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-21 14:40 |
| 888sport | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 09:05 |
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 09:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 09:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-21 09:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 09:04 |
| Everygame | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| TAB | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-21 09:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-20 07:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-20 07:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -12.60%E -5.48%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -17.85%E -6.20%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15% | 1.5% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |