L’École des cotes

Port Vale v Reading

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Port Vale (Local)

Prévision 33.48%2.99cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.81%33.31%33.52%34.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.792.802.9037.04%35.87%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Reading (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.00%2.63cote équitable
EV -2.34%
Avantage -0.911%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.24%38.12%37.97%39.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.422.402.5743.48%41.37%41.67%38.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.52%3.51cote équitable
EV -1.88%
Avantage -0.545%
Kelly -0.769%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.45%28.57%28.50%30.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.273.293.4434.72%30.59%30.40%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betr (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 14:55
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:55
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -2.92%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 14:55
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 09:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 32.90%EV -3.92%E -1.37%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.34%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-20 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 10:00
Neds2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-20 10:00
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 14:50
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -4.59%E -1.61%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -10.15%E -3.22%K -4.72%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 14:55
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -2.72%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:35
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.05%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.24%EV -2.72%E -1.06%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.71%EV -5.30%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 14:35
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.89%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.28%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 09:04
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 07:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 07:44
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 33.47%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.56%EV -7.66%E -3.15%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-20 07:44
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 14:44
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.21%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 09:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -9.56%E -4.02%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -3.02%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-20 09:55
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 07:45
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 07:45
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 07:45
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 07:45
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 07:45
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 07:44
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.86%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -4.44%E -1.33%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-20 07:44
SportsBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:45
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.27%E -2.24%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 14:45
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.51%EV -6.60%E -2.37%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Pinnacle2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.43%EV -2.34%E -0.911%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.96%EV -1.88%E -0.545%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:45
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -5.76%E -2.32%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:45
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.58%EV -6.94%E -2.49%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.95%EV -6.52%E -2.65%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.46%EV -6.44%E -1.96%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 14:45
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.09%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.00%E -2.00%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 14:54
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 07:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-20 07:44
PlayUp2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -5.87%E -1.78%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-21 14:45
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 09:25
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:50
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 14:45
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 14:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 09:05
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 09:04
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 09:04
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -7.94%E -2.89%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -6.90%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -11.57%E -3.73%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 09:05
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 09:04
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:50
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-21 14:45
Codere (IT)2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -8.80%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -8.72%E -2.73%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 09:25
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 07:45
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -10.70%E -4.55%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -7.30%E -2.24%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-20 07:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.14%EV -9.61%E -3.56%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.73%EV -12.60%E -5.48%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.13%EV -17.85%E -6.20%K -9.49%G +0.000%15.2%2026-02-21 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.50%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.38%0.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-02-21 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.69%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Smarkets2.98I 33.56%NM 33.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-02-21 14:50