Language:English
Port Vale v Bradford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV -1.45%
Edge -0.354%
Kelly -0.468%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%24.16%24.09%26.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.773.804.1028.99%26.55%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bradford City (Visit)
Prediction 47.64%2.10fair odd
EV +0.035%
Edge +0.017%
Kelly +0.032%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.88%47.55%47.61%48.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.971.952.1052.36%50.63%51.28%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.33%3.53fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.911%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.37%28.28%28.29%30.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.64%30.77%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 24.04%; Bradford City (Visit): 47.64%; Draw: 28.33%. For Bradford City (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.099. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.100, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.035%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -1.87%E -0.908%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -1.87%E -0.908%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -17.08%E -4.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -17.08%E -4.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.73%E -2.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.73%E -2.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.354%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -5.21%E -2.62%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.38%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -7.59%E -3.91%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.06%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.95%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -5.78%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.75%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -3.12%E -0.911%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.06%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.06%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -18.41%E -6.39%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |