L’École des cotesFrançais
Port Vale v Bradford City
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Port Vale (Local)
Prévision 24.04%4.16cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.354%
Kelly -0.468%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.42%24.16%24.09%26.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.453.773.804.1028.99%26.55%26.32%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Bradford City (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.64%2.10cote équitable
EV +0.035%
Avantage +0.017%
Kelly +0.032%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.88%47.55%47.61%48.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.911.971.952.1052.36%50.63%51.28%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 28.33%3.53cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.911%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.37%28.28%28.29%30.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.64%30.77%29.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -1.87%E -0.908%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -1.87%E -0.908%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -17.08%E -4.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -17.08%E -4.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.73%E -2.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.73%E -2.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.354%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -5.21%E -2.62%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.38%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -7.59%E -3.91%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.06%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.95%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -5.78%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.75%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -3.12%E -0.911%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.06%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.06%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bovada | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Everygame | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -18.41%E -6.39%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |