La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Port Vale v Bradford City
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 24.04%4.16momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.354%
Kelly -0.468%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.42%24.16%24.09%26.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.453.773.804.1028.99%26.55%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bradford City (Visitante)
Predicción 47.64%2.10momio equitativo
EV +0.035%
Ventaja +0.017%
Kelly +0.032%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.88%47.55%47.61%48.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.911.971.952.1052.36%50.63%51.28%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 28.33%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -0.911%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.42
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.37%28.28%28.29%30.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.263.253.4234.72%30.64%30.77%29.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -14.67%E -4.13%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV +0.035%E +0.017%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Casumo | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| betPARX | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.88%EV -1.39%E -0.674%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -1.87%E -0.908%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -15.87%E -4.54%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.00%EV -1.87%E -0.908%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -17.08%E -4.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -17.08%E -4.95%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -3.78%E -1.87%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -10.77%E -3.42%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| DraftKings | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.40%EV -4.73%E -2.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.30%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -4.73%E -2.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Pinnacle | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.42%EV -1.45%E -0.354%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.25%EV -5.21%E -2.62%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV -3.97%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.39%EV -6.63%E -3.38%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.90%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| Coral | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bet Victor | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BetMGM | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Neds | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Sky Bet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:25 |
| BetUS | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -11.07%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.21%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Betway | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| TAB | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -12.18%E -3.93%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.92%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.65%EV -7.11%E -3.65%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.43%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.86%E -0.964%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%EV -7.59%E -3.91%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -3.68%E -1.08%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.06%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.31%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -5.95%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| PlayUp | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.03%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.66%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.75%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| Bet Right | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.63%EV -8.06%E -4.18%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-11 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -5.78%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.75%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.37%EV -3.12%E -0.911%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betsson | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.06%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.06%E -1.28%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -8.54%E -4.45%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -5.10%E -1.52%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.52%E -1.97%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-11 19:30 |
| 888sport | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| William Hill | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.47%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.92%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Bovada | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.84%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -7.93%E -2.44%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Everygame | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.70%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.78%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -9.35%E -2.92%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-11 19:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.18%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.58%EV -9.02%E -4.72%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.23%EV -18.41%E -6.39%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-11 18:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.59% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Matchbook | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.95% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.85% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.20% | 1.3% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.16% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.64% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.20% | 2.8% | 2026-03-11 19:40 |