Language:English
Plymouth Argyle v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Prediction 41.29%2.42fair odd
EV -1.74%
Edge -0.731%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.69%41.31%41.35%45.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.222.252.3849.50%45.10%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 29.35%3.41fair odd
EV +2.73%
Edge +0.779%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.030%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.48%29.28%29.31%30.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.213.153.5034.72%31.12%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.36%3.41fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.487%
Kelly -0.694%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.03%29.41%29.34%31.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.183.203.3535.71%31.48%31.25%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 41.29%; Stevenage (Visit): 29.35%; Draw: 29.36%. For Stevenage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.73%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -14.13%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.63%E -0.487%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -14.13%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.63%E -0.487%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -14.13%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.63%E -0.487%K -0.694%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -15.78%E -7.73%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-17 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -14.95%E -7.26%K -14.10%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -0.209%E -0.062%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -0.209%E -0.062%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.56%E -0.770%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -7.21%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.56%E -0.770%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -7.21%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.45%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -3.14%E -0.953%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.41%EV -3.98%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.28%E -2.77%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -5.20%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.74%E -0.731%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -8.38%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.62%E -2.08%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 41.44%EV -9.58%E -4.38%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-17 19:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-17 19:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-17 19:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -15.47%E -5.37%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -17.78%E -6.35%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16% | 0.5% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06% | 0.8% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-03-17 19:40 |