La escuela de los momios

Plymouth Argyle v Stevenage

Inicio: 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Predicción 41.29%2.42momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.731%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.69%41.31%41.35%45.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.222.252.3849.50%45.10%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Stevenage (Visitante)

Predicción 29.35%3.41momio equitativo
EV +2.73%
Ventaja +0.779%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.030%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.48%29.28%29.31%30.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.213.153.5034.72%31.12%31.75%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.36%3.41momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.487%
Kelly -0.694%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.03%29.41%29.34%31.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.183.203.3535.71%31.48%31.25%29.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -14.13%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.63%E -0.487%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:40
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -14.13%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.63%E -0.487%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -14.13%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.63%E -0.487%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:40
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -15.78%E -7.73%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:10
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -14.95%E -7.26%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:40
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -0.209%E -0.062%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:40
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -0.209%E -0.062%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:40
LowVig.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.56%E -0.770%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -7.21%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.56%E -0.770%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -7.21%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Pinnacle2.32I 43.10%NM 41.45%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -3.14%E -0.953%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.41%EV -3.98%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:30
1xBet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.28%E -2.77%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -5.20%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.74%E -0.731%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -8.38%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:40
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:20
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.62%E -2.08%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:30
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:40
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:40
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:30
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:25
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:31
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:35
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:30
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:30
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 41.44%EV -9.58%E -4.38%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:25
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:25
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:35
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -15.47%E -5.37%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -17.78%E -6.35%K -9.88%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-03-17 19:40