Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle v Stevenage

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-17 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prévision 41.29%2.42cote équitable
EV -1.74%
Avantage -0.731%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.69%41.31%41.35%45.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.022.222.252.3849.50%45.10%44.44%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Stevenage (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.35%3.41cote équitable
EV +2.73%
Avantage +0.779%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.030%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.48%29.28%29.31%30.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.213.153.5034.72%31.12%31.75%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.36%3.41cote équitable
EV -1.63%
Avantage -0.487%
Kelly -0.694%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.03%29.41%29.34%31.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.183.203.3535.71%31.48%31.25%29.85%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Plymouth Argyle (Local) : 41.29% ; Stevenage (Visiteur) : 29.35% ; Match nul : 29.36%. Pour Stevenage (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.41. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.50, soit une espérance positive de +2.73%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -14.13%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.63%E -0.487%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -14.13%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.63%E -0.487%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -14.13%E -6.79%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -1.63%E -0.487%K -0.694%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:40
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.43%EV -15.78%E -7.73%K -15.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV +2.73%E +0.779%K +1.09%G +0.030%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 19:10
Unibet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
TABtouch🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.90%EV -14.54%E -7.02%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.94%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.02%EV -14.95%E -7.26%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV +1.26%E +0.365%K +0.514%G +0.006%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -3.10%E -0.939%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-17 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -0.209%E -0.062%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.13%EV -16.60%E -8.22%K -16.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -0.209%E -0.062%K -0.087%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-17 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.56%E -0.770%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -7.21%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.21%EV -4.63%E -2.00%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.67%EV -2.56%E -0.770%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.12%EV -7.21%E -2.28%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Pinnacle🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.45%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -3.14%E -0.953%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.41%EV -3.98%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-17 19:30
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.19%EV -6.28%E -2.77%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.94%EV -5.20%E -1.61%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.87%EV -8.09%E -2.59%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -1.74%E -0.731%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -8.38%E -2.69%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 19:40
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.21%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.62%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.17%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-17 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.35%EV -6.62%E -2.08%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-17 19:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:35
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.08%E -1.90%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.55%E -2.40%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 19:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -4.57%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-17 19:30
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-17 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:31
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-17 19:35
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:30
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:30
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 41.44%EV -9.58%E -4.38%K -8.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 19:25
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -9.01%E -2.91%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.67%EV -10.44%E -3.42%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-17 19:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.44%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.04%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-17 19:25
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -4.22%E -1.82%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 19:40
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -9.17%E -4.17%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -10.48%E -3.44%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -7.50%E -2.38%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 19:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -8.97%E -2.89%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-17 19:35
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.04%E -2.19%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.95%E -3.98%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.91%E -3.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -7.11%E -3.16%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.22%EV -15.47%E -5.37%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.09%EV -17.78%E -6.35%K -9.88%G +0.000%14.9%2026-03-17 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Matchbook2.48I 40.32%NM 40.13%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-03-17 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.33%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-17 19:40
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 39.96%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-03-17 19:40