Language:English
Plymouth Argyle v Doncaster Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Prediction 48.33%2.07fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.82%48.37%48.32%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.85%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Doncaster Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV -2.96%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.86%26.07%26.10%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.503.503.7230.77%28.56%28.57%26.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.58%3.91fair odd
EV -0.991%
Edge -0.256%
Kelly -0.345%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.87
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.48%25.56%25.58%27.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.623.653.8732.26%27.59%27.40%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 48.33%; Doncaster Rovers (Visit): 26.09%; Draw: 25.58%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.87, with an expected value of -0.991%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -4.31%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.40%EV -5.05%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.83%EV -0.991%E -0.256%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.06%EV -6.24%E -3.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.13%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.39%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.24%E -3.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.24%E -3.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:58 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -6.11%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -6.11%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.21%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.21%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.21%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.16%EV -2.96%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.85%EV -7.39%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 13:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.78%E -0.732%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.74%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 13:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.14%E -4.86%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.62%E -5.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 13:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.62%E -5.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.56%E -6.31%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -11.56%E -6.31%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -20.69%E -6.67%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |