La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Plymouth Argyle v Doncaster Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Predicción 48.33%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -3.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.82%48.37%48.32%50.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.85%52.08%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Doncaster Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 26.09%3.83momio equitativo
EV -2.96%
Ventaja -0.796%
Kelly -1.09%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.72
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.86%26.07%26.10%27.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.503.503.7230.77%28.56%28.57%26.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.58%3.91momio equitativo
EV -0.991%
Ventaja -0.256%
Kelly -0.345%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.87
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.48%25.56%25.58%27.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.653.8732.26%27.59%27.40%25.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Unibet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -4.31%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.40%EV -5.05%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.83%EV -0.991%E -0.256%K -0.345%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Casumo | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| betPARX | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 14:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 14:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 13:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.06%EV -6.24%E -3.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.13%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.39%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.24%E -3.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.24%E -3.22%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| Coolbet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 12:58 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -6.11%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -6.11%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.21%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.21%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-07 14:34 |
| TAB | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.21%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 14:53 |
| 1xBet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.16%EV -2.96%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.85%EV -7.39%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Paddy Power | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-07 13:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-07 13:00 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Fanatics | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 12:49 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-07 14:44 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 13:00 |
| SportsBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Sky Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.78%E -0.732%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-07 13:00 |
| Everygame | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.74%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-07 13:19 |
| BetUS | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.14%E -4.86%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| theScore Bet | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.62%E -5.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-07 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.62%E -5.15%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-05 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.56%E -6.31%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -11.56%E -6.31%K -13.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -20.69%E -6.67%K -9.85%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.28% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20% | 0.5% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.65% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01% | 1.2% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19% | 1.8% | 2026-03-07 14:54 |