Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle v Doncaster Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prévision 48.33%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -1.67%
Kelly -3.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.82%48.37%48.32%50.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.831.931.922.0054.64%51.85%52.08%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.09%3.83cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -0.796%
Kelly -1.09%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.86%26.07%26.10%27.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.503.503.7230.77%28.56%28.57%26.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.58%3.91cote équitable
EV -0.991%
Avantage -0.256%
Kelly -0.345%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.48%25.56%25.58%27.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.623.653.8732.26%27.59%27.40%25.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Plymouth Argyle (Local) : 48.33% ; Doncaster Rovers (Visiteur) : 26.09% ; Match nul : 25.58%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.91. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.87, pour une espérance de -0.991% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.87%EV -4.31%E -2.17%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.43%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:34
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.77%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.40%EV -5.05%E -1.39%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.83%EV -0.991%E -0.256%K -0.345%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:45
Grosvenor🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:35
BetRivers🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:35
TABtouch🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:34
Casumo🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:35
betPARX🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.00%EV -4.79%E -2.43%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.64%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.37%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 14:35
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.50%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -4.06%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 14:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 13:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.06%EV -6.24%E -3.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.13%E -2.00%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -7.39%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.24%E -3.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.82%EV -6.24%E -3.22%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -15.22%E -4.68%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-07 14:34
Coolbet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 12:58
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -6.11%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.18%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 26.49%EV -8.44%E -2.40%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.33%EV -6.11%E -1.66%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.07%EV -6.72%E -3.48%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.42%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-07 14:44
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.21%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:34
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.21%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:34
TAB🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.66%EV -7.21%E -3.75%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 14:44
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:53
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.16%EV -2.96%E -0.796%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.85%EV -7.39%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:54
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-07 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-07 13:00
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:44
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:44
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 12:49
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -7.69%E -4.03%K -8.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 13:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 14:54
Sky Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -2.78%E -0.732%K -0.994%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-07 13:00
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.62%E -1.81%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.77%EV -8.17%E -4.30%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -11.74%E -3.40%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 13:19
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -9.14%E -4.86%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -7.90%E -2.19%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:54
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -9.62%E -5.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 13:00
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -9.62%E -5.15%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.46%E -2.99%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-05 16:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.56%E -6.31%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -3.48%E -0.941%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.86%EV -5.34%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -11.56%E -6.31%K -13.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -20.69%E -6.67%K -9.85%G +0.000%16.3%2026-03-07 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.52%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.53%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%1.0%2026-03-07 14:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.65%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-03-07 14:54
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.62%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.19%1.8%2026-03-07 14:54