Language:English
Plymouth Argyle v Bolton Wanderers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Prediction 41.87%2.39fair odd
EV -0.341%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.247%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.49%41.87%41.80%42.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.252.252.3848.78%44.52%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bolton Wanderers (Visit)
Prediction 33.09%3.02fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.96%33.15%33.09%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.772.752.9238.17%36.05%36.36%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.04%3.99fair odd
EV -0.596%
Edge -0.150%
Kelly -0.201%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.47%24.99%25.12%26.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.663.653.9731.25%27.30%27.40%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Plymouth Argyle (Local): 41.87%; Bolton Wanderers (Visit): 33.09%; Draw: 25.04%. For Plymouth Argyle (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -0.341%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.341%E -0.143%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.341%E -0.143%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.341%E -0.143%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.25%EV -0.596%E -0.150%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 10:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.22%EV -7.46%E -3.38%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -4.71%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.05%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.07%EV -6.69%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.74%EV -12.07%E -5.75%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.53%EV -12.98%E -4.94%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.73%EV -19.88%E -6.21%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.93%EV -14.16%E -6.91%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.59%EV -13.31%E -5.08%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |