La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Plymouth Argyle v Bolton Wanderers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Plymouth Argyle (Local)
Predicción 41.87%2.39momio equitativo
EV -0.341%
Ventaja -0.143%
Kelly -0.247%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.49%41.87%41.80%42.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.252.252.3848.78%44.52%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Bolton Wanderers (Visitante)
Predicción 33.09%3.02momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.16%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.92
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.96%33.15%33.09%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.772.752.9238.17%36.05%36.36%34.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.04%3.99momio equitativo
EV -0.596%
Ventaja -0.150%
Kelly -0.201%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.47%24.99%25.12%26.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.663.653.9731.25%27.30%27.40%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.341%E -0.143%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.341%E -0.143%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.341%E -0.143%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| BetRivers | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.25%EV -0.596%E -0.150%K -0.201%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:44 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-03 10:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.21I 45.25%NM 41.22%EV -7.46%E -3.38%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -4.71%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 1xBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.05%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.07%EV -6.69%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| Bovada | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| William Hill | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 13:49 |
| Everygame | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.74%EV -12.07%E -5.75%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.53%EV -12.98%E -4.94%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.73%EV -19.88%E -6.21%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-03 13:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.93%EV -14.16%E -6.91%K -13.49%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.59%EV -13.31%E -5.08%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10% | 1.2% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.77% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 2.4% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |