L’École des cotes

Plymouth Argyle v Bolton Wanderers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Plymouth Argyle (Local)

Prévision 41.87%2.39cote équitable
EV -0.341%
Avantage -0.143%
Kelly -0.247%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.49%41.87%41.80%42.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.252.252.3848.78%44.52%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bolton Wanderers (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.09%3.02cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.96%33.15%33.09%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.772.752.9238.17%36.05%36.36%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.04%3.99cote équitable
EV -0.596%
Avantage -0.150%
Kelly -0.201%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.47%24.99%25.12%26.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.663.653.9731.25%27.30%27.40%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.341%E -0.143%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:20
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.341%E -0.143%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:20
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -0.341%E -0.143%K -0.247%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.25%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.17%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:20
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:25
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -1.60%E -0.680%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:20
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.69%EV -2.43%E -1.05%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-03 13:20
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-03 13:49
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:20
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -3.69%E -1.60%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.37%EV -12.32%E -4.65%K -7.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -12.36%E -3.53%K -4.95%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:20
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 13:50
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.62%EV -5.37%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.99%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.39%EV -1.10%E -0.278%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-03 13:49
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 42.78%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.97%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.25%EV -0.596%E -0.150%K -0.201%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:40
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.43%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.96%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:50
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:50
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:49
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:49
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:44
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-03 10:00
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.82%EV -5.78%E -2.57%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.02%EV -10.66%E -3.95%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.22%EV -7.46%E -3.38%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.66%EV -11.11%E -3.13%K -4.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-03 13:39
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.68%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV -4.71%E -1.63%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.71%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-03 13:55
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.50%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.05%E -1.40%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-03 13:49
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.07%EV -6.69%E -2.37%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 13:54
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-03 13:40
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.15%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.12%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.73%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:55
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:50
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.87%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.24%EV -8.61%E -2.36%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 13:49
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.50%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-03 13:50
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:54
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:55
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.88%E -3.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:55
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.81%EV -8.72%E -4.00%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.96%EV -3.38%E -1.16%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.36%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 13:40
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.96%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.41%EV -5.70%E -2.00%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-03 13:50
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -4.85%E -1.28%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 13:49
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.20%EV -9.01%E -3.28%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-03 13:55
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -9.97%E -4.64%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -7.35%E -2.63%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.86%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.74%EV -12.07%E -5.75%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.53%EV -12.98%E -4.94%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.73%EV -19.88%E -6.21%K -9.03%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-03 13:54
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.93%EV -14.16%E -6.91%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.59%EV -13.31%E -5.08%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.47%EV -6.10%E -1.63%K -2.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-03 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 42.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.94%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-04-03 13:50
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 42.82%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.77%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%2.4%2026-04-03 13:50