Language:English
Peterborough United v Stevenage
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peterborough United (Local)
Prediction 45.46%2.20fair odd
EV +0.013%
Edge +0.006%
Kelly +0.010%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.43%45.30%45.41%47.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.062.052.2052.36%48.47%48.78%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Stevenage (Visit)
Prediction 27.52%3.63fair odd
EV +4.56%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.074%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.65%27.71%27.49%30.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.353.8033.33%29.90%29.85%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV -1.09%
Edge -0.298%
Kelly -0.410%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%27.00%27.10%28.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.413.403.6631.25%29.33%29.41%27.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 45.46%; Stevenage (Visit): 27.52%; Draw: 27.02%. For Stevenage (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.63. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.56%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -9.99%E -5.04%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +4.56%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.074% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.04%EV -9.74%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -9.99%E -5.04%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV +0.432%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -7.26%E -3.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -0.394%E -0.109%K -0.150%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -1.09%E -0.298%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -7.26%E -3.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.944%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.24%EV -1.09%E -0.298%K -0.410%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.32%E -0.653%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:33 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.12%EV -7.72%E -3.80%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.26%E -6.35%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.90%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.87%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.52%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -13.17%E -6.90%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-01 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.26%E -3.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.26%E -3.56%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-01 18:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV +0.013%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -1.35%E -0.623%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-01 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV +0.013%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -13.17%E -6.90%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -17.45%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.70% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.30% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01% | 0.1% | 2026-09-01 18:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52% | 0.9% | 2026-09-01 18:40 |