Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United v Stevenage

Início: 2026-09-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Peterborough United 0–0 Stevenage

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United (Local)

Previsão 45.46%2.20odd justa
EV +0.013%
Vantagem +0.006%
Kelly +0.010%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.43%45.30%45.41%47.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.062.052.2052.36%48.47%48.78%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Stevenage (Visitante)

Previsão 27.52%3.63odd justa
EV +4.56%
Vantagem +1.20%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescimento +0.074%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.65%27.71%27.49%30.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.353.8033.33%29.90%29.85%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.02%3.70odd justa
EV -1.09%
Vantagem -0.298%
Kelly -0.410%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.72%27.00%27.10%28.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.203.413.403.6631.25%29.33%29.41%27.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Peterborough United (Local): 45.46%; Stevenage (Visitante): 27.52%; Empate: 27.02%. Para Stevenage (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.63. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.80, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.56%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.31%EV -9.99%E -5.04%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.65%EV +4.56%E +1.20%K +1.63%G +0.074%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.04%EV -9.74%E -2.92%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.43%EV -9.99%E -5.04%K -10.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV +0.432%E +0.118%K +0.163%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-01 18:40
BetUS🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -7.26%E -3.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.57%EV -0.394%E -0.109%K -0.150%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.28%EV -1.09%E -0.298%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.08%EV -7.26%E -3.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.944%E -0.262%K -0.363%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.24%EV -1.09%E -0.298%K -0.410%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-01 18:30
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -2.32%E -0.653%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:33
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:33
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.33%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.94%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:40
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.12%EV -7.72%E -3.80%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.14%EV -6.77%E -1.96%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -12.26%E -6.35%K -13.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -3.70%E -1.06%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:35
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 18:20
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.78%EV -5.44%E -2.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.00%EV -5.07%E -1.47%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.20%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.29%EV -5.90%E -1.72%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -4.87%E -1.38%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:40
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:19
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-01 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.15%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.22%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.63%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.08%E -4.54%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 18:30
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.45%E -1.90%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -13.52%E -4.23%K -6.15%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:20
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.32%EV -3.62%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.05%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.95%EV -8.17%E -4.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -7.82%E -2.34%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:10
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 18:15
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-01 18:40
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-01 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -13.17%E -6.90%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.20%E -2.79%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-01 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:10
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.47%E -2.83%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 18:15
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:40
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.57%E -3.25%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-01 18:40
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -6.81%E -3.32%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -10.82%E -3.28%K -4.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-01 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.26%E -3.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 18:20
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -7.26%E -3.56%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.95%E -3.73%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -12.17%E -3.75%K -5.41%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-01 18:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV +0.013%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.10%EV -1.35%E -0.623%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.42%E -1.55%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-01 18:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV +0.013%E +0.006%K +0.010%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-01 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -4.53%E -2.16%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -13.17%E -6.90%K -14.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.70%E -4.74%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -2.71%E -0.754%K -1.04%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-01 18:40
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -2.26%E -1.05%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -17.45%E -5.82%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.12%E -2.39%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-01 18:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.01%0.1%2026-09-01 18:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-09-01 18:40