Language:English
Peterborough United v Sheffield Wednesday
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peterborough United (Local)
Prediction 31.28%3.20fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -0.977%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.17%31.22%31.25%32.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.982.983.1035.71%33.55%33.56%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sheffield Wednesday (Visit)
Prediction 43.80%2.28fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.91%43.90%43.73%44.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.102.2050.00%47.21%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.92%4.01fair odd
EV -0.314%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.105%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.29%24.89%25.02%26.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.693.694.0028.99%27.08%27.10%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 31.28%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visit): 43.80%; Draw: 24.92%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.00, with an expected value of -0.314%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.03%E -0.977%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.03%E -0.977%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.03%E -0.977%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-04 08:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -3.65%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.29%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-04 12:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -3.65%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -8.29%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 11:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 11:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-03 11:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-04 12:18 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.51%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.94%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.81%E -0.719%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-04 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.314%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.81%E -0.719%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-03 05:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 12:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-04 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.63%EV -6.78%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.63%EV -6.78%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.81%E -0.719%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.20%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -2.81%E -0.719%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-04 12:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -10.22%E -4.98%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 43.53%EV -8.46%E -4.05%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-03 05:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 11:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-04 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 11:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-04 11:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-04 12:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 05:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-04 12:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-04 12:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -9.91%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.314%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -12.41%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-04 12:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80% | 0.8% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.19% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.03% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44% | 2.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |