Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United v Sheffield Wednesday

Início: 2026-09-05 11:30 UTC

Final: Peterborough United 1–2 Sheffield Wednesday

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United (Local)

Previsão 31.28%3.20odd justa
EV -3.03%
Vantagem -0.977%
Kelly -1.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.17%31.22%31.25%32.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.802.982.983.1035.71%33.55%33.56%32.26%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sheffield Wednesday (Visitante)

Previsão 43.80%2.28odd justa
EV -3.65%
Vantagem -1.66%
Kelly -3.04%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.91%43.90%43.73%44.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.102.2050.00%47.21%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.92%4.01odd justa
EV -0.314%
Vantagem -0.078%
Kelly -0.105%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.29%24.89%25.02%26.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.693.694.0028.99%27.08%27.10%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Peterborough United (Local): 31.28%; Sheffield Wednesday (Visitante): 43.80%; Empate: 24.92%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 4.00, com valor esperado de -0.314%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.03%E -0.977%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.03%E -0.977%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 11:35
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -3.03%E -0.977%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 08:19
1xBet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.40%EV -3.65%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.44%EV -8.29%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -3.65%E -1.19%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.40%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.33%EV -8.29%E -2.25%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 12:10
Unibet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:45
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:44
betPARX🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -5.40%E -2.50%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 11:44
Neds🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 11:34
Bovada🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -4.59%E -1.51%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.94%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-04 12:18
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.51%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.94%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.81%E -0.719%K -0.968%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-04 12:30
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.36%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.314%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:05
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -3.65%E -1.66%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.60%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.09%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.81%E -0.719%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 12:05
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 12:10
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 12:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.52%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 05:04
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 12:14
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 12:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.63%EV -6.78%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.63%EV -6.78%E -2.28%K -3.43%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.24%EV -4.52%E -2.07%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 13:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.96%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -2.81%E -0.719%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:04
SportsBet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.20%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -2.81%E -0.719%K -0.968%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:05
Coolbet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.67%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.07%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -4.05%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 12:04
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.25%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.49%EV -7.15%E -3.37%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.26%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 12:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -10.22%E -4.98%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 12:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.53%EV -8.46%E -4.05%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 05:14
TABtouch🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 11:44
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 11:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 11:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.66%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-04 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 11:44
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.55%EV -7.72%E -2.62%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.33%EV -8.90%E -4.28%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -14.02%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.91%EV -5.84%E -2.71%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.28%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:04
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:04
theScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.92%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-04 12:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -6.54%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 12:04
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-04 12:05
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 05:09
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.28%E -2.86%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-04 12:10
TAB🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -9.28%E -3.20%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -12.77%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 12:14
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -9.91%E -3.44%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -8.03%E -3.82%K -7.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -0.314%E -0.078%K -0.105%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 12:05
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -12.41%E -4.43%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -12.41%E -6.20%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -5.30%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 12:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.52%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.68%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.80%0.8%2026-09-04 13:00
Smarkets◎3.15I 31.75%NM 31.19%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.25%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%1.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.53%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.03%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-09-04 12:55