Language:English
Peterborough United v Cardiff City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peterborough United (Local)
Prediction 19.95%5.01fair odd
EV -0.232%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.058%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.74%19.99%19.87%21.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.644.705.0023.81%21.56%21.28%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cardiff City (Visit)
Prediction 59.26%1.69fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -5.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.23%59.20%59.40%60.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6365.79%63.47%63.69%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.79%4.81fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.219%
Kelly -0.277%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.38%20.81%20.73%23.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.384.404.7627.78%22.82%22.73%21.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peterborough United (Local): 19.95%; Cardiff City (Visit): 59.26%; Draw: 20.79%. For Peterborough United (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -0.232%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -0.232%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -2.23%E -0.455%K -0.571%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -9.93%E -6.53%K -19.10%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.29%E -0.487%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.07%EV -4.82%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.82%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.11%EV -1.04%E -0.219%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.66%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.14%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.79%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -7.49%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -7.49%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.63I 21.60%NM 20.24%EV -7.62%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.03%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -7.49%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 13:43 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -9.34%E -6.10%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -1.25%E -0.263%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 13:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.63%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.81%EV -8.74%E -5.68%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -9.34%E -6.10%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -25.16%E -6.99%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-06 12:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.20%E -3.86%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -9.34%E -6.10%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-06 12:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 13:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.29% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.3% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |