Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United v Cardiff City

Início: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peterborough United (Local)

Previsão 19.95%5.01odd justa
EV -0.232%
Vantagem -0.046%
Kelly -0.058%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.74%19.99%19.87%21.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.644.705.0023.81%21.56%21.28%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cardiff City (Visitante)

Previsão 59.26%1.69odd justa
EV -3.41%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -5.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.63

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.23%59.20%59.40%60.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.581.571.6365.79%63.47%63.69%61.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 20.79%4.81odd justa
EV -1.04%
Vantagem -0.219%
Kelly -0.277%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.76

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.38%20.81%20.73%23.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.604.384.404.7627.78%22.82%22.73%21.01%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Peterborough United (Local): 19.95%; Cardiff City (Visitante): 59.26%; Empate: 20.79%. Para Peterborough United (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.01. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.00, com valor esperado de -0.232%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -0.232%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -2.23%E -0.455%K -0.571%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.40%EV -9.93%E -6.53%K -19.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 13:44
DraftKings🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.20%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -2.29%E -0.487%K -0.618%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-06 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.22%E -0.880%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 13:44
Pinnacle🎯4.77I 20.96%NM 20.07%EV -4.82%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.82%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.11%EV -1.04%E -0.219%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.85%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.66%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -4.37%E -0.949%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:00
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.70%EV -7.56%E -4.85%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:45
SportsBet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 13:35
PlayUp🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.44%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.57%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-06 13:10
TAB🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -5.22%E -1.10%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.14%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.57%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 13:10
LeoVegas🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.79%EV -3.41%E -2.09%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -11.64%E -2.74%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-06 13:44
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -7.49%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:35
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.37%E -4.03%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.99%EV -7.49%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.42%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.22%E -1.32%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.94%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:35
1xBet🎯4.63I 21.60%NM 20.24%EV -7.62%E -1.64%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.94%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 13:35
Coral🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.49%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.56%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.95%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.71%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:35
BetUS🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.15%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.03%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.83%EV -7.49%E -1.68%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 13:35
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.12%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.84%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.04%EV -12.68%E -3.02%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 13:43
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.95%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.20%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.85%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:44
LiveScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -8.21%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.00%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.76%E -3.60%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:35
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.02%EV -4.60%E -2.86%K -7.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.23%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 13:35
Fanatics🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -5.78%E -3.64%K -9.80%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -6.45%E -1.43%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Neds🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.68%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.17%EV -5.19%E -3.24%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Sky Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.46%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.16%EV -9.34%E -6.10%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.38%EV -1.25%E -0.263%K -0.333%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:15
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.63%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 13:44
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:44
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.39%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.43%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:45
Codere (IT)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -10.21%E -2.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.81%EV -8.74%E -5.68%K -16.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -10.60%E -2.47%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 13:35
Everygame🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -12.20%E -2.77%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -8.15%E -5.26%K -14.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.67%EV -8.52%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Betway🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.97%EV -6.97%E -4.44%K -12.22%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.02%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 13:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -13.60%E -3.14%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 56.23%EV -9.34%E -6.10%K -17.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.90%EV -25.16%E -6.99%K -9.68%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 12:00
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -16.20%E -3.86%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.22%EV -9.34%E -6.10%K -17.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -9.98%E -2.30%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 12:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-04-06 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-04-06 13:45
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.05%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.14%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-04-06 13:35
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.98%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.29%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.3%2026-04-06 13:35